governor romney is leading president obama by four points among likely voters 50-46 percent. now our campaign insiders, a former republican congressman for new york, john leboutillier, and pat caddell, former pollster for jimmy carter, and doug schoen a fox news contributor and former pollster for bill clinton. doug, where does the race stand? >>doug: first, the national popular vote, you look at average, 1.5 to 2 points for governor romney. there are eight daily national polls. the governor romney has been leading in five or six. the swing states, we will get do that in a second, they are deadlocked and the momentum we talked about last week, it continues to be ever-so-slightly in my judgment, for governor romney. >>gregg: and now the rasmussen poll, the national poll, governor romney is 50 and president obama at 47 and most of the national polls are showing governor romney with a lead. now, having said that, pat, talk about the president's declining job approval. >>pat: we have talked on the program, i said the most important number is the job approval. he is holding at 50.